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Learning path 05

Analysis, foresight and anticipation

Move from signals to hypotheses, scenarios and strategic options.

≈ 3 h 40 min · Intermediate to advanced

The question it answers

How do you move from signals to options when the future is still open?

What you will take away

Competitive profile, radar, scenarios and decision briefing.

Start with 5.1

Five lessons

Recommended order. You can start with any of them.
  1. 5.1Applied competitive intelligence: interpreting moves, not collecting newsWhat does a competitor's move really mean, and which decision could it change?≈ 40 min · Intermediate · You take away competitive profile sheet with rival hypotheses and a future watch list
  2. 5.2Technologies and innovation activity: telling interest, capability and adoption apartWhich indications let you estimate how a technology is evolving without confusing publications, patents and real deployment?≈ 40 min · Advanced · You take away a technology radar with an uncertainty map and update criteria
  3. 5.3Weak signals and trends: avoiding both noise and false certaintyHow do you treat an early indication that could be relevant but is still ambiguous?≈ 30 min · Advanced · You take away a signal log with mechanisms for cross-checking and follow-up
  4. 5.4Scenarios: building plausible futures, not predicting the winnerHow can you use uncertainty to design more robust decisions?≈ 70 min · Advanced · You take away scenario matrix, robust options and follow-up signals
  5. 5.5Communicating implications and decisions: the intelligence product that can be questionedHow do you present an analysis so that management can act without confusing uncertainty with ignorance?≈ 40 min · Advanced · You take away traceable executive briefing and decision/follow-up sheet

Lab practice · L08

Scenarios

Output: Alternative futures and conditional options. No sign-up required.

Learning paths