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Learning path 05

# Analysis, foresight and anticipation

Move from signals to hypotheses, scenarios and strategic options.

≈ 3 h 40 min · Intermediate to advanced

The question it answers

How do you move from signals to options when the future is still open?

**What you will take away** 

Competitive profile, radar, scenarios and decision briefing.

[Start with 5.1](https://academy.innguma.com/en/analysis-foresight-and-anticipation/applied-competitive-intelligence/)

## Five lessons

Recommended order. You can start with any of them.

1.  [5.1 Applied competitive intelligence: interpreting moves, not collecting news What does a competitor's move really mean, and which decision could it change? ≈ 40 min · Intermediate · You take away competitive profile sheet with rival hypotheses and a future watch list](https://academy.innguma.com/en/analysis-foresight-and-anticipation/applied-competitive-intelligence/)
2.  [5.2 Technologies and innovation activity: telling interest, capability and adoption apart Which indications let you estimate how a technology is evolving without confusing publications, patents and real deployment? ≈ 40 min · Advanced · You take away a technology radar with an uncertainty map and update criteria](https://academy.innguma.com/en/analysis-foresight-and-anticipation/technologies-and-innovation-activity-telling-interest-capability-and-adoption-apart/)
3.  [5.3 Weak signals and trends: avoiding both noise and false certainty How do you treat an early indication that could be relevant but is still ambiguous? ≈ 30 min · Advanced · You take away a signal log with mechanisms for cross-checking and follow-up](https://academy.innguma.com/en/analysis-foresight-and-anticipation/weak-signals-and-trends-avoiding-both-noise-and-false-certainty/)
4.  [5.4 Scenarios: building plausible futures, not predicting the winner How can you use uncertainty to design more robust decisions? ≈ 70 min · Advanced · You take away scenario matrix, robust options and follow-up signals](https://academy.innguma.com/en/analysis-foresight-and-anticipation/scenarios-building-plausible-futures-not-predicting-the-winner/)
5.  [5.5 Communicating implications and decisions: the intelligence product that can be questioned How do you present an analysis so that management can act without confusing uncertainty with ignorance? ≈ 40 min · Advanced · You take away traceable executive briefing and decision/follow-up sheet](https://academy.innguma.com/en/analysis-foresight-and-anticipation/communicating-implications-and-decisions-the-intelligence-product-that-can-be-questioned/)

Lab practice · L08

## Scenarios

Output: Alternative futures and conditional options. No sign-up required.

- [Open the tool](https://academy.innguma.com/en/lab/scenarios/)
- [All activities](https://academy.innguma.com/en/lab/)

## Learning paths

- [If you come from… 03 · AI applied to intelligence](https://academy.innguma.com/en/ai-applied-to-intelligence/)
- [If you want to go on… 06 · Intelligence in the organisation](https://academy.innguma.com/en/intelligence-in-the-organisation/)

**Download** 

-   [R14 · Intelligence product specification and briefing](https://academy.innguma.com/en/library/intelligence-product-specification-and-briefing/)
-   [R13 · Scenarios and robust options](https://academy.innguma.com/en/library/scenarios-and-robust-options/)
-   [R10 · Matrix of hypotheses and alternatives](https://academy.innguma.com/en/library/matrix-of-hypotheses-and-alternatives/)
-   [R11 · Verifiable competitive profile](https://academy.innguma.com/en/library/verifiable-competitive-profile/)
-   [R12 · Technology radar](https://academy.innguma.com/en/library/technology-radar/)

[Library →](https://academy.innguma.com/en/library/)

**References and review** 

Every lesson states its references and its limits.